Cordoba vs Eibar match summary and prediction — Segunda División
Our model makes Cordoba the pick at 50% for Cordoba vs Eibar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cordoba face Eibar on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Cordoba. Cordoba are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Cordoba - Eibar. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cordoba: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 38 conceded in 23 matches, 1.57 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -5.
Eibar: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 14 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.67 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cordoba | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -5 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.57 / 1.65 | 1.29 / 0.67 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.65 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 53.8 | 60.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cordoba 53.8 versus Eibar 60.6, a gap of 6.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Cordoba's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Cordoba at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cordoba's way, especially at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cordoba or Eibar?
Cordoba, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Cordoba, 20% the draw and 30% Eibar.
When and where is Cordoba vs Eibar being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Cordoba, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cordoba and Eibar?
Eibar 2-0 Cordoba on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Cordoba and Eibar?
Cordoba have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Eibar 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently Cordoba took a 1-0 win away at Leganes and Eibar a 1-1 draw at home to Mallorca.
How many goals are expected in Cordoba vs Eibar?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for Cordoba and 2.20 for Eibar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.