Granada CF vs Valladolid: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Granada CF the pick at 72% for Granada CF vs Valladolid. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Granada CF face Valladolid on 23 October 2026. Granada CF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 72%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Granada CF - Valladolid. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Granada CF: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 36 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Valladolid: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 36 conceded in 21 matches, 0.9 and 1.71 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Granada CF | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLL | LWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 8 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.35 / 1.57 | 0.9 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.8 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 72% | 4% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Granada CF 55.8 versus Valladolid 51.9, a gap of 3.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans Granada CF's way at 78%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Granada CF at 72%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Granada CF or Valladolid?
Granada CF, with an implied win probability of roughly 72%. The full split is 72% Granada CF, 24% the draw and 4% Valladolid.
When and where is Granada CF vs Valladolid being played?
23 October 2026, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Granada CF and Valladolid?
Granada CF 5-1 Valladolid on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Granada CF and Valladolid?
Granada CF have taken 9 points from their last five (WWWLL), Valladolid 8 from theirs (LWDWD). Most recently Granada CF took a 2-0 win at home to Cadiz and Valladolid a 2-3 defeat at home to Eldense.
How many goals are expected in Granada CF vs Valladolid?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for Granada CF and 1.00 for Valladolid. It rates over 2.5 goals at 87%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.