Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Las Palmas the pick at 51% for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Las Palmas face Real Sociedad II on 24 October 2026 at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria. Las Palmas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Las Palmas - Real Sociedad II. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Las Palmas: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 21 matches, 1.33 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -6.
Real Sociedad II: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 31 conceded in 22 matches, 1.05 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.2 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Las Palmas | Real Sociedad II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 13 | 10 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.33 / 1.19 | 1.05 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.8 | 23.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Las Palmas 26.8 versus Real Sociedad II 23.2, a gap of 3.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Las Palmas' way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Las Palmas at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Las Palmas's way, especially at Gran Canaria.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Las Palmas or Real Sociedad II?
Las Palmas, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Las Palmas, 30% the draw and 20% Real Sociedad II.
When and where is Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II being played?
24 October 2026 at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II?
Real Sociedad II 1-1 Las Palmas on 30 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II?
Las Palmas have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Real Sociedad II 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Las Palmas took a 0-3 defeat at home to Castellón and Real Sociedad II a 2-4 defeat at home to Almeria.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for Las Palmas and 1.60 for Real Sociedad II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.