Leganes vs Mallorca: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Mallorca the pick at 48% for Leganes vs Mallorca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leganes face Mallorca on 24 October 2026 at Municipal de Butarque, Leganes. Mallorca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Leganes - Mallorca. Kick-off is 14:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Leganes: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 28 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -9.
Mallorca: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 48 conceded in 34 matches, 1.21 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Leganes | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -9 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | DWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 12 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 34 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.21 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.15 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.8 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 48% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Leganes none wins, Mallorca one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Mallorca 0-0 Leganes on 19 April 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 0.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Leganes 32.8 versus Mallorca 53.4, a gap of 20.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Mallorca's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Mallorca at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Mallorca's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leganes or Mallorca?
Mallorca, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 22% Leganes, 31% the draw and 48% Mallorca.
When and where is Leganes vs Mallorca being played?
24 October 2026 at Municipal de Butarque, Leganes, kick-off 14:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Leganes and Mallorca?
Mallorca 0-0 Leganes on 19 April 2025.
What is the recent form of Leganes and Mallorca?
Leganes have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Mallorca 8 from theirs (DWDLW). Most recently Leganes took a 0-1 defeat at home to Cordoba and Mallorca a 1-1 draw away at Eibar.
How many goals are expected in Leganes vs Mallorca?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.20 for Leganes and 1.20 for Mallorca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.