Albacete vs Sabadell: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Albacete the pick at 59% for Albacete vs Sabadell. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Albacete host Sabadell on 31 October 2026 at Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Albacete are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 12 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Albacete - Sabadell. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Albacete: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded twelve, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.5 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -14.
Sabadell: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Albacete | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 22nd | 10th |
| Goal difference | -14 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | DLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 12 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.5 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Albacete 31.5 versus Sabadell 45.5, a gap of 14.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Albacete's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Albacete at 59%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. Sabadell's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Albacete's way, especially at Carlos Belmonte.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Albacete or Sabadell?
Albacete, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Albacete, 21% the draw and 20% Sabadell.
When and where is Albacete vs Sabadell being played?
31 October 2026 at Carlos Belmonte, Albacete, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Albacete and Sabadell met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Albacete and Sabadell?
Albacete have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), Sabadell 6 from theirs (DLWDD). Most recently Albacete took a 2-0 win at home to Eldense and Sabadell a 1-1 draw at home to Tenerife.
How many goals are expected in Albacete vs Sabadell?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Albacete and 1.00 for Sabadell. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.