Mallorca vs Cadiz: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Mallorca the pick at 71% for Mallorca vs Cadiz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cadiz travel to Mallorca on 2 November 2026 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. Mallorca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 71%. This matchday 12 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Mallorca - Cadiz. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Mallorca: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 48 conceded in 34 matches, 1.21 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Cadiz: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 35 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.75 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Mallorca | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWDL | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 34 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.21 / 1.41 | 1.0 / 1.75 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.8 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 71% | 10% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Mallorca one win, Cadiz one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca on 28 April 2024.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.75 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Mallorca 46.8 versus Cadiz 48.3, a gap of 1.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Mallorca's way at 70%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Mallorca at 71%, a gap of 51 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Mallorca's way, especially at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mallorca or Cadiz?
Mallorca, with an implied win probability of roughly 71%. The full split is 71% Mallorca, 19% the draw and 10% Cadiz.
When and where is Mallorca vs Cadiz being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Mallorca and Cadiz?
Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca on 28 April 2024.
What is the recent form of Mallorca and Cadiz?
Mallorca have taken 6 points from their last five (DDWDL), Cadiz 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently Mallorca took a 1-1 draw away at Leganes and Cadiz a 3-1 win away at Xerez.
How many goals are expected in Mallorca vs Cadiz?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Mallorca and 1.20 for Cadiz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.