Oviedo vs Las Palmas: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Las Palmas the pick at 40% for Oviedo vs Las Palmas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Las Palmas travel to Oviedo on 2 November 2026 at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. Las Palmas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 12 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Oviedo - Las Palmas. Kick-off is 15:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oviedo: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 54 conceded in 33 matches, 0.67 and 1.64 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
Las Palmas: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 21 matches, 1.33 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Oviedo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWL | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 11 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 33 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.67 / 1.64 | 1.33 / 1.19 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.79 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.1 | 37.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Oviedo 59.1 versus Las Palmas 37.1, a gap of 22.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Oviedo's way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Las Palmas at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oviedo or Las Palmas?
Las Palmas, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 32% Oviedo, 28% the draw and 40% Las Palmas.
When and where is Oviedo vs Las Palmas being played?
2 November 2026 at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Have Oviedo and Las Palmas met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oviedo and Las Palmas?
Oviedo have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWWL), Las Palmas 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Oviedo took a 3-3 draw away at Numancia and Las Palmas a 3-1 win away at RSD Alcalá.
How many goals are expected in Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 2.00 for Oviedo and 0.60 for Las Palmas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.