Valladolid vs Leganes: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Valladolid and Leganes on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Valladolid face Leganes on 2 November 2026 at Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid. Valladolid are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 12 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Valladolid - Leganes. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Valladolid: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 36 conceded in 21 matches, 0.9 and 1.71 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of 0.
Leganes: they come in on the back of a draw, following four defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 28 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Valladolid | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 17th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWD | DLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 7 | 1 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.9 / 1.71 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.86 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 26.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 34% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Valladolid one win, Leganes one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Valladolid 3-2 Leganes on 14 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Valladolid 48.3 versus Leganes 26.1, a gap of 22.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Leganes' way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Valladolid is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Valladolid's form line and home advantage back it, the goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Valladolid's way, especially at Estadio José Zorrilla.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Valladolid or Leganes?
Valladolid, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Valladolid, 28% the draw and 34% Leganes.
When and where is Valladolid vs Leganes being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Valladolid and Leganes?
Valladolid 3-2 Leganes on 14 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Valladolid and Leganes?
Valladolid have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLWD), Leganes 1 from theirs (DLLLL). Most recently Valladolid took a 1-0 win away at Covadonga and Leganes a 1-1 draw at home to Mallorca.
How many goals are expected in Valladolid vs Leganes?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.80 for Valladolid and 0.40 for Leganes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.