Cadiz vs Oviedo match summary and prediction — Segunda División
Our model makes Oviedo the pick at 46% for Cadiz vs Oviedo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cadiz face Oviedo on 7 November 2026 at JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz. Oviedo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 13 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Cadiz - Oviedo. Kick-off is 15:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cadiz: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 35 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.75 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -1.
Oviedo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 54 conceded in 33 matches, 0.67 and 1.64 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cadiz | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLL | LDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 12 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 33 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.75 | 0.67 / 1.64 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 48.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cadiz 44.8 versus Oviedo 48.8, a gap of 4.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Oviedo's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Oviedo at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cadiz's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cadiz or Oviedo?
Oviedo, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 29% Cadiz, 24% the draw and 46% Oviedo.
When and where is Cadiz vs Oviedo being played?
7 November 2026 at JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Have Cadiz and Oviedo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cadiz and Oviedo?
Cadiz have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), Oviedo 8 from theirs (LDDWW). Most recently Cadiz took a 1-2 defeat away at Mallorca and Oviedo a 2-3 defeat at home to Las Palmas.
How many goals are expected in Cadiz vs Oviedo?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.20 for Cadiz and 2.40 for Oviedo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.