Castellón vs Eibar — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Castellón the pick at 66% for Castellón vs Eibar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Castellón face Eibar on 6 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia. Castellón are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This matchday 13 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Castellón - Eibar. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Castellón: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 33 conceded in 23 matches, 1.7 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +18.
Eibar: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 14 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.67 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Castellón | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +18 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWL | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 2 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.7 / 1.43 | 1.29 / 0.67 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.52 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.2 | 43.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 14% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Castellón 56.2 versus Eibar 43.4, a gap of 12.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Castellón's way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Castellón at 66%, a gap of 46 percentage points to the next outcome. Castellón's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Castellón's way, especially at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Castellón or Eibar?
Castellón, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Castellón, 20% the draw and 14% Eibar.
When and where is Castellón vs Eibar being played?
6 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Castellón and Eibar?
Castellón 2-1 Eibar on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Castellón and Eibar?
Castellón have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), Eibar 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently Castellón took a 1-1 draw away at Burgos and Eibar a 1-1 draw at home to Almeria.
How many goals are expected in Castellón vs Eibar?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.40 for Castellón and 1.80 for Eibar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.