Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC match summary and prediction — Segunda División
Our model makes Cordoba the pick at 53% for Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
AD Ceuta FC travel to Cordoba on 7 November 2026. Cordoba are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 13 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Cordoba - AD Ceuta FC. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cordoba: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 38 conceded in 23 matches, 1.57 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
AD Ceuta FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 33 conceded in 19 matches, 1.47 and 1.74 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.1 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -17.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cordoba | AD Ceuta FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 22nd |
| Goal difference | -3 | -17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWL | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.57 / 1.65 | 1.47 / 1.74 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.6 | 24.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cordoba 57.6 versus AD Ceuta FC 24.1, a gap of 33.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Cordoba's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Cordoba at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cordoba's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cordoba or AD Ceuta FC?
Cordoba, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Cordoba, 22% the draw and 25% AD Ceuta FC.
When and where is Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC?
AD Ceuta FC 3-2 Cordoba on 25 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC?
Cordoba have taken 7 points from their last five (DLWWL), AD Ceuta FC 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Cordoba took a 2-2 draw away at Celta de Vigo II and AD Ceuta FC a 0-2 defeat at home to Sporting Gijon.
How many goals are expected in Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.40 for Cordoba and 0.60 for AD Ceuta FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.