Las Palmas vs Eldense: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Las Palmas the pick at 57% for Las Palmas vs Eldense. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Las Palmas face Eldense on 8 November 2026 at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Las Palmas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 13 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Las Palmas - Eldense. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Las Palmas: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Eldense: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Las Palmas | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLL | LWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.3 | 54.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Las Palmas 47.3 versus Eldense 54.0, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Las Palmas' way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Las Palmas at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Las Palmas's way, especially at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Las Palmas or Eldense?
Las Palmas, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Las Palmas, 24% the draw and 18% Eldense.
When and where is Las Palmas vs Eldense being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Las Palmas and Eldense met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Las Palmas and Eldense?
Las Palmas have taken 9 points from their last five (WWWLL), Eldense 9 from theirs (LWLWW). Most recently Las Palmas took a 3-2 win away at Oviedo and Eldense a 0-2 defeat at home to Granada CF.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs Eldense?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Eldense. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.