Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Sabadell the pick at 44% for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Real Sociedad II travel to Sabadell on 9 November 2026 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. Sabadell are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 13 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Sabadell - Real Sociedad II. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sabadell: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those four they scored four and conceded five, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Real Sociedad II: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded twelve, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.2 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sabadell | Real Sociedad II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLW | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.9 | 33.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sabadell 41.9 versus Real Sociedad II 33.2, a gap of 8.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Sabadell's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Sabadell at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sabadell's way, especially at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sabadell or Real Sociedad II?
Sabadell, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Sabadell, 25% the draw and 32% Real Sociedad II.
When and where is Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II being played?
9 November 2026 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Sabadell and Real Sociedad II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sabadell and Real Sociedad II?
Sabadell have taken 4 points from their last four (LDLW), Real Sociedad II 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Sabadell took a 1-2 defeat away at Albacete and Real Sociedad II a 1-0 win at home to Girona.
How many goals are expected in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Sabadell and 1.40 for Real Sociedad II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.