Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II match summary and prediction — Segunda División
Our model makes Albacete the pick at 59% for Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Albacete face Celta de Vigo II on 16 November 2026 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Albacete are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Albacete - Celta de Vigo II. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Albacete: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 21st on a goal difference of -11.
Celta de Vigo II: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Albacete | Celta de Vigo II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 21st | 16th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLL | LDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.2 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Albacete 52.2 versus Celta de Vigo II 40.2, a gap of 12.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Albacete's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Albacete at 59%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. Albacete's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Albacete's way, especially at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Albacete or Celta de Vigo II?
Albacete, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Albacete, 21% the draw and 20% Celta de Vigo II.
When and where is Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II being played?
16 November 2026 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Albacete and Celta de Vigo II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Albacete and Celta de Vigo II?
Albacete have taken 9 points from their last five (WWWLL), Celta de Vigo II 5 from theirs (LDLDW). Most recently Albacete took a 3-1 win away at Leganes and Celta de Vigo II a 1-2 defeat away at Burgos.
How many goals are expected in Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Albacete and 1.20 for Celta de Vigo II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.