Almeria vs FC Andorra: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Almeria the pick at 46% for Almeria vs FC Andorra. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Andorra travel to Almeria on 14 November 2026. Almeria are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Almeria - FC Andorra. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Almeria: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 40 conceded in 25 matches, 2.0 and 1.6 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +14.
FC Andorra: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.8 and 1.2 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.4 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Almeria | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 19th |
| Goal difference | +14 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDW | DWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 25 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.84 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.2 | 40.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Almeria 65.2 versus FC Andorra 40.4, a gap of 24.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 18 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans Almeria's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Almeria at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Almeria's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Almeria or FC Andorra?
Almeria, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Almeria, 26% the draw and 28% FC Andorra.
When and where is Almeria vs FC Andorra being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Almeria and FC Andorra?
Almeria 3-2 FC Andorra on 13 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Almeria and FC Andorra?
Almeria have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWDW), FC Andorra 4 from theirs (DWLL). Most recently Almeria took a 1-0 win away at Girona and FC Andorra a 2-2 draw away at Tenerife.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs FC Andorra?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for Almeria and 1.00 for FC Andorra. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.