Eibar vs Cadiz: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Eibar the pick at 60% for Eibar vs Cadiz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Eibar face Cadiz on 15 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. Eibar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Eibar - Cadiz. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Eibar: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 14 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.67 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
Cadiz: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 35 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.75 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Eibar | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 20th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLD | LLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.29 / 0.67 | 1.0 / 1.75 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.86 | 0.75 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.4 | 34.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Eibar 43.4 versus Cadiz 34.5, a gap of 8.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 16 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Eibar's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Eibar at 60%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. Eibar's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Eibar's way, especially at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Eibar or Cadiz?
Eibar, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Eibar, 25% the draw and 15% Cadiz.
When and where is Eibar vs Cadiz being played?
15 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Eibar and Cadiz met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Eibar and Cadiz?
Eibar have taken 5 points from their last four (WDLD), Cadiz 6 from theirs (LLWWL). Most recently Eibar took a 3-0 win away at Pamplona and Cadiz a 1-2 defeat at home to Oviedo.
How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Cadiz?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Eibar and 1.00 for Cadiz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.