Eldense vs Sabadell: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Eldense and Sabadell on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Eldense face Sabadell on 15 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda. Eldense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Eldense - Sabadell. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Eldense: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 0.71 and 1.14 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.5 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -6.
Sabadell: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 0.83 and 1.33 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Eldense | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLW | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.71 / 1.14 | 0.83 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 0.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.5 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Eldense 43.5 versus Sabadell 41.9, a gap of 1.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Eldense's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Eldense is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Eldense's way, especially at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Eldense or Sabadell?
Eldense, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Eldense, 26% the draw and 36% Sabadell.
When and where is Eldense vs Sabadell being played?
15 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Eldense and Sabadell met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Eldense and Sabadell?
Eldense have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWLW), Sabadell 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently Eldense took a 0-2 defeat away at Las Palmas and Sabadell a 0-0 draw at home to Real Sociedad II.
How many goals are expected in Eldense vs Sabadell?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.80 for Eldense and 0.40 for Sabadell. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.