Granada CF vs Las Palmas: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Las Palmas the pick at 38% for Granada CF vs Las Palmas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Granada CF host Las Palmas on 15 November 2026. Las Palmas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Granada CF - Las Palmas. Kick-off is 15:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Granada CF: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 36 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 76.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Las Palmas: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 21 matches, 1.33 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Granada CF | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWW | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 1 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.35 / 1.57 | 1.33 / 1.19 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 76.5 | 54.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 38% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Granada CF none wins, Las Palmas two wins, one draw — an edge to Las Palmas.
- Most recent meeting: Las Palmas 2-0 Granada CF on 02 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Granada CF 76.5 versus Las Palmas 54.5, a gap of 22.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Las Palmas' way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Las Palmas at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Granada CF or Las Palmas?
Las Palmas, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 30% Granada CF, 32% the draw and 38% Las Palmas.
When and where is Granada CF vs Las Palmas being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Granada CF and Las Palmas?
Las Palmas 2-0 Granada CF on 02 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Granada CF and Las Palmas?
Granada CF have taken 12 points from their last four (WWWW), Las Palmas 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Granada CF took a 2-0 win away at Eldense and Las Palmas a 2-0 win at home to Eldense.
How many goals are expected in Granada CF vs Las Palmas?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for Granada CF and 1.40 for Las Palmas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.