Oviedo vs Girona: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Oviedo and Girona on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Oviedo face Girona on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. Oviedo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Oviedo - Girona. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Oviedo: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 2.0 and 1.43 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
Girona: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 1.67 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Oviedo | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 10 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 1.43 | 1.67 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.71 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.1 | 50.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 36% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Oviedo one win, Girona none wins, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Oviedo 1-0 Girona on 31 January 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Oviedo 59.1 versus Girona 50.8, a gap of 8.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Oviedo's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Oviedo is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Oviedo's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Oviedo's way, especially at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oviedo or Girona?
Oviedo, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Oviedo, 26% the draw and 36% Girona.
When and where is Oviedo vs Girona being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Oviedo and Girona?
Oviedo 1-0 Girona on 31 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Oviedo and Girona?
Oviedo have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), Girona 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently Oviedo took a 2-1 win away at Cadiz and Girona a 0-1 defeat at home to Almeria.
How many goals are expected in Oviedo vs Girona?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.20 for Oviedo and 1.60 for Girona. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.