Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Tenerife the pick at 37% for Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
AD Ceuta FC travel to Tenerife on 15 November 2026. Tenerife are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 14 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Tenerife - AD Ceuta FC. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Tenerife: they come in on four successive draws. That is no wins, four draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored five and conceded five, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -2.
AD Ceuta FC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 20.0 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -20.
Side by side
| Statistic | Tenerife | AD Ceuta FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 22nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | -20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDD | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 4 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 20.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Tenerife 37.8 versus AD Ceuta FC 20.0, a gap of 17.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.10, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Tenerife's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Tenerife at 37%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tenerife or AD Ceuta FC?
Tenerife, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Tenerife, 31% the draw and 32% AD Ceuta FC.
When and where is Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Tenerife and AD Ceuta FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Tenerife and AD Ceuta FC?
Tenerife have taken 4 points from their last four (DDDD), AD Ceuta FC 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Tenerife took a 2-2 draw at home to FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC a 0-3 defeat away at Cordoba.
How many goals are expected in Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.10 — 1.50 for Tenerife and 0.60 for AD Ceuta FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.