Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 51% for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Getafe host Deportivo La Coruna on 13 September 2026 at Coliseum, Getafe. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 51%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 5 fixture in La Liga is listed as Getafe - Deportivo La Coruna. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Getafe: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 36 conceded in 34 matches, 0.82 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Deportivo La Coruna: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 17 conceded in 20 matches, 1.3 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Getafe | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWW | WWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 34 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.82 / 1.06 | 1.3 / 0.85 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 52.4 |
| Players unavailable | 12 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 16% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Getafe 37.6 versus Deportivo La Coruna 52.4, a gap of 14.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Getafe carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.25, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 40%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo La Coruna's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Deportivo La Coruna's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Getafe or Deportivo La Coruna?
Neither side. Our model splits it 16% Getafe, 51% the draw and 34% Deportivo La Coruna, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna being played?
13 September 2026 at Coliseum, Getafe, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Have Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna?
Getafe have taken 7 points from their last five (DLLWW), Deportivo La Coruna 8 from theirs (WWDDL). Most recently Getafe took a 1-1 draw at home to Celta Vigo and Deportivo La Coruna a 3-2 win away at Villarreal.
How many goals are expected in Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.25 — 1.00 for Getafe and 1.25 for Deportivo La Coruna. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 40%, so its call is no.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists twelve players unavailable for Getafe and four for Deportivo La Coruna at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.