Villarreal vs Levante — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Villarreal host Levante with a season still short of where it should be — 19th in La Liga and winless in five. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
Match summary
Villarreal host Levante on 20 September 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Villarreal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 79%. This matchday 7 fixture in La Liga is listed as Villarreal - Levante. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Villarreal: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (80 scored and 76 conceded in 51 matches, 1.57 and 1.49 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.9 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -3. For a club of Villarreal's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Levante: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 51 conceded in 32 matches, 1.22 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Villarreal | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | LDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 11 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 51 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.57 / 1.49 | 1.22 / 1.59 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.9 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 79% | 3% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Villarreal two wins, Levante none wins, none draws — an edge to Villarreal.
- Most recent meeting: Villarreal 5-1 Levante on 02 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Villarreal 30.9 versus Levante 41.2, a gap of 10.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Villarreal are 19th with a goal difference of -3 and winless in five — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 24%.
- First goal: Leans Villarreal's way at 80%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Villarreal at 79%, a gap of 60 percentage points to the next outcome. Levante's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Villarreal's way, especially at Estadio de la Cerámica.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Villarreal or Levante?
Villarreal, with an implied win probability of roughly 79%. The full split is 79% Villarreal, 19% the draw and 3% Levante.
When and where is Villarreal vs Levante being played?
20 September 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Villarreal and Levante?
Villarreal 5-1 Levante on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Levante?
Villarreal have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Levante 5 from theirs (LDWDL). Most recently Villarreal took a 1-2 defeat at home to Real Betis and Levante a 2-4 defeat at home to Barcelona.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Levante?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for Villarreal and 1.60 for Levante. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 24%, so its call is no.