Racing Santander vs Espanyol: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Racing Santander the pick at 50% for Racing Santander vs Espanyol. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Racing Santander face Espanyol on 24 October 2026 at El Sardinero, Santander. Racing Santander are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 10 fixture in La Liga is listed as Racing Santander - Espanyol. Kick-off is 14:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Racing Santander: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 32 conceded in 21 matches, 2.1 and 1.52 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -12.
Espanyol: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 50 conceded in 35 matches, 1.14 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Racing Santander | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLW | LDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 17 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.1 / 1.52 | 1.14 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.0 | 1.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 38.1 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Racing Santander 35.3 versus Espanyol 38.1, a gap of 2.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Racing Santander's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Racing Santander at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Racing Santander's way, especially at El Sardinero.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Racing Santander or Espanyol?
Racing Santander, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Racing Santander, 25% the draw and 25% Espanyol.
When and where is Racing Santander vs Espanyol being played?
24 October 2026 at El Sardinero, Santander, kick-off 14:15 UTC.
Have Racing Santander and Espanyol met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Racing Santander and Espanyol?
Racing Santander have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLLW), Espanyol 4 from theirs (LDLLW). Most recently Racing Santander took a 0-2 defeat away at Osasuna and Espanyol a 0-1 defeat at home to Atletico Madrid.
How many goals are expected in Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Espanyol. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Racing Santander and four for Espanyol at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.