Sevilla vs Osasuna — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Sevilla and Osasuna on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Sevilla face Osasuna on 26 October 2026 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla. Sevilla are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 35%. This matchday 10 fixture in La Liga is listed as Sevilla - Osasuna. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sevilla: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 50 conceded in 33 matches, 1.21 and 1.52 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Osasuna: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 48 conceded in 35 matches, 1.2 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sevilla | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLW | WLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 13 | 5 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 33 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.21 / 1.52 | 1.2 / 1.37 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 36.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 33% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 1 | 4 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Sevilla one win, Osasuna four wins, three draws — an edge to Osasuna.
- Most recent meeting: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla on 26 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.12 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Sevilla 47.8 versus Osasuna 36.3, a gap of 11.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Sevilla's way at 46%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Sevilla is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Sevilla's way, especially at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sevilla or Osasuna?
Sevilla, with an implied win probability of roughly 35%. The full split is 35% Sevilla, 32% the draw and 33% Osasuna.
When and where is Sevilla vs Osasuna being played?
26 October 2026 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sevilla and Osasuna?
Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Osasuna?
Sevilla have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLLW), Osasuna 4 from theirs (WLDLL). Most recently Sevilla took a 1-4 defeat away at Real Madrid and Osasuna a 2-0 win at home to Racing Santander.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla vs Osasuna?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Sevilla and 1.00 for Osasuna. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.