Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna the pick at 38% for Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Deportivo La Coruna host Osasuna on 2 November 2026 at Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna. Deportivo La Coruna are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 11 fixture in La Liga is listed as Deportivo La Coruna - Osasuna. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Deportivo La Coruna: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 17 conceded in 20 matches, 1.3 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of 0.
Osasuna: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 48 conceded in 35 matches, 1.2 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLL | WLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 0.85 | 1.2 / 1.37 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.9 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.7 | 35.8 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo La Coruna 31.7 versus Osasuna 35.8, a gap of 4.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo La Coruna's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Deportivo La Coruna at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Osasuna's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Deportivo La Coruna's way, especially at Estadio de Riazor.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo La Coruna or Osasuna?
Deportivo La Coruna, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Deportivo La Coruna, 30% the draw and 33% Osasuna.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna?
Deportivo La Coruna have taken 4 points from their last five (WLDLL), Osasuna 7 from theirs (WLWLD). Most recently Deportivo La Coruna took a 3-0 win away at Auriense and Osasuna a 6-0 win away at Atletico Calatayud.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.40 for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.80 for Osasuna. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Deportivo La Coruna and six for Osasuna at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.