Getafe vs Sevilla — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Getafe the pick at 41% for Getafe vs Sevilla. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Getafe face Sevilla on 1 November 2026 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Getafe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 11 fixture in La Liga is listed as Getafe - Sevilla. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Getafe: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 36 conceded in 34 matches, 0.82 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -10.
Sevilla: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 50 conceded in 33 matches, 1.21 and 1.52 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Getafe | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -10 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDD | WWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 13 | 10 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 34 | 33 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.82 / 1.06 | 1.21 / 1.52 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 27% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 2 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Getafe two wins, Sevilla three wins, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla on 01 February 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the six — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Getafe 35.8 versus Sevilla 48.3, a gap of 12.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Getafe carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Getafe's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Getafe at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Getafe's way, especially at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Getafe or Sevilla?
Getafe, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Getafe, 32% the draw and 27% Sevilla.
When and where is Getafe vs Sevilla being played?
1 November 2026 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Getafe and Sevilla?
Getafe 0-0 Sevilla on 01 February 2025.
What is the recent form of Getafe and Sevilla?
Getafe have taken 5 points from their last five (WLLDD), Sevilla 7 from theirs (WWLDL). Most recently Getafe took a 3-2 win away at Lebrijana and Sevilla a 3-0 win away at Hortaleza.
How many goals are expected in Getafe vs Sevilla?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Getafe and 1.00 for Sevilla. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Getafe and four for Sevilla at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.