Levante vs Atletico Madrid match summary and prediction — La Liga
Our model makes Atletico Madrid the pick at 56% for Levante vs Atletico Madrid. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Levante face Atletico Madrid on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Atletico Madrid are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 11 fixture in La Liga is listed as Levante - Atletico Madrid. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Levante: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 51 conceded in 32 matches, 1.22 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Atletico Madrid: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (126 scored and 89 conceded in 64 matches, 1.97 and 1.39 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 78.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Levante | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -3 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDDL | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 10 | 7 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 32 | 64 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.22 / 1.59 | 1.97 / 1.39 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.06 | 1.78 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 78.0 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 17% | 56% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Levante none wins, Atletico Madrid one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid on 31 January 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Levante 40.9 versus Atletico Madrid 78.0, a gap of 37.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Atletico Madrid's way at 65%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Atletico Madrid at 56%, a gap of 29 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Levante or Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 17% Levante, 27% the draw and 56% Atletico Madrid.
When and where is Levante vs Atletico Madrid being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Levante and Atletico Madrid?
Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid on 31 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Levante and Atletico Madrid?
Levante have taken 5 points from their last five (LWDDL), Atletico Madrid 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Levante took a 1-2 defeat away at Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid a 1-0 win at home to Deportivo La Coruna.
How many goals are expected in Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Levante and 1.20 for Atletico Madrid. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Levante and four for Atletico Madrid at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.