Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Real Madrid the pick at 61% for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Racing Santander face Real Madrid on 1 November 2026 at El Sardinero, Santander. Real Madrid are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 11 fixture in La Liga is listed as Racing Santander - Real Madrid. Kick-off is 15:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Racing Santander: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 32 conceded in 21 matches, 2.1 and 1.52 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -11.
Real Madrid: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (121 scored and 67 conceded in 58 matches, 2.09 and 1.16 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Racing Santander | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -11 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 15 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 58 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.1 / 1.52 | 2.09 / 1.16 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.6 | 68.8 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 61% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Racing Santander 35.6 versus Real Madrid 68.8, a gap of 33.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Real Madrid carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Real Madrid's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Real Madrid at 61%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Racing Santander or Real Madrid?
Real Madrid, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 22% Racing Santander, 17% the draw and 61% Real Madrid.
When and where is Racing Santander vs Real Madrid being played?
1 November 2026 at El Sardinero, Santander, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Have Racing Santander and Real Madrid met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Racing Santander and Real Madrid?
Racing Santander have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLDL), Real Madrid 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Racing Santander took a 2-0 win away at Ribadesella CF and Real Madrid a 2-1 win away at Barcelona.
How many goals are expected in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 2.00 for Racing Santander and 3.00 for Real Madrid. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Racing Santander and eight for Real Madrid at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.