Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Espanyol the pick at 42% for Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Espanyol face Deportivo La Coruna on 7 November 2026 at RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat. Espanyol are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 12 fixture in La Liga is listed as Espanyol - Deportivo La Coruna. Kick-off is 15:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Espanyol: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 50 conceded in 35 matches, 1.14 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -1.
Deportivo La Coruna: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 17 conceded in 20 matches, 1.3 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLD | WWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 35 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.14 / 1.43 | 1.3 / 0.85 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.26 | 1.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.1 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Espanyol 38.1 versus Deportivo La Coruna 41.9, a gap of 3.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Espanyol's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Espanyol at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Deportivo La Coruna's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Espanyol's way, especially at RCDE Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Espanyol or Deportivo La Coruna?
Espanyol, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Espanyol, 26% the draw and 32% Deportivo La Coruna.
When and where is Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna being played?
7 November 2026 at RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Have Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna?
Espanyol have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLLD), Deportivo La Coruna 7 from theirs (WWLDL). Most recently Espanyol took a 1-0 win away at Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna a 2-1 win at home to Osasuna.
How many goals are expected in Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Espanyol and 1.40 for Deportivo La Coruna. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.