Villarreal vs Getafe match summary and prediction — La Liga
Villarreal host Getafe with a season still short of where it should be — 9th in La Liga and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
The fixture at a glance
Villarreal face Getafe on 8 November 2026 at Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal. Villarreal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 12 fixture in La Liga is listed as Villarreal - Getafe. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Villarreal: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (80 scored and 76 conceded in 51 matches, 1.57 and 1.49 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0. For a club of Villarreal's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Getafe: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 36 conceded in 34 matches, 0.82 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Villarreal | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWL | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 12 | 9 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 51 | 34 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.57 / 1.49 | 0.82 / 1.06 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 46.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 22% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 3 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Villarreal three wins, Getafe one win, four draws — an edge to Villarreal.
- Most recent meeting: Getafe 2-1 Villarreal on 14 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.88 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the eight — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Villarreal 48.3 versus Getafe 46.3, a gap of 2.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Big club, bad season: Villarreal are 9th with a goal difference of 0 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Villarreal's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Villarreal at 55%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. Getafe's stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Villarreal's way, especially at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Villarreal or Getafe?
Villarreal, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Villarreal, 22% the draw and 22% Getafe.
When and where is Villarreal vs Getafe being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Villarreal and Getafe?
Getafe 2-1 Villarreal on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Getafe?
Villarreal have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWWL), Getafe 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Villarreal took a 0-6 defeat at home to Paris Saint Germain and Getafe a 3-1 win at home to Sevilla.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Getafe?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Villarreal and 1.40 for Getafe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.