SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach match summary and prediction — Bundesliga
There is barely anything between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
SC Freiburg host Borussia Mönchengladbach on 12 September 2026 at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. SC Freiburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 3 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as SC Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach. Kick-off is 13:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
SC Freiburg: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (66 scored and 65 conceded in 45 matches, 1.47 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +4.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 51 conceded in 30 matches, 1.23 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.0 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | SC Freiburg | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 17th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 17 / 4 | 18 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 45 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.44 | 1.23 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 24.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 12% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 2 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): SC Freiburg two wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach none wins, one draw — an edge to SC Freiburg.
- Most recent meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg on 05 October 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.33 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: SC Freiburg 46.0 versus Borussia Mönchengladbach 24.0, a gap of 22.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Borussia Mönchengladbach carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to no.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 93% and both teams to score at 68%.
- First goal: Leans SC Freiburg's way at 59%.
The call
The model does not commit. SC Freiburg is the nominal pick at 46%, but the three results sit close to even. SC Freiburg's form line and home advantage back it, the goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts SC Freiburg's way, especially at Europa-Park Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SC Freiburg or Borussia Mönchengladbach?
SC Freiburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% SC Freiburg, 41% the draw and 12% Borussia Mönchengladbach.
When and where is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach being played?
12 September 2026 at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg on 05 October 2025.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
SC Freiburg have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently SC Freiburg took a 1-0 win away at SC Paderborn 07 and Borussia Mönchengladbach a 3-4 defeat at home to SV Elversberg.
How many goals are expected in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.20 for SC Freiburg and 0.80 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. It rates over 2.5 goals at 93%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 68%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists no players unavailable for SC Freiburg and twelve for Borussia Mönchengladbach at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.