FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FC Schalke 04 the pick at 52% for FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Schalke 04 face SV Elversberg on 20 September 2026 at VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen. FC Schalke 04 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 4 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as FC Schalke 04 - SV Elversberg. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Schalke 04: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 22 conceded in 16 matches, 1.69 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -1.
SV Elversberg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 22 conceded in 17 matches, 1.88 and 1.29 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Schalke 04 | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 15 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.69 / 1.38 | 1.88 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.1 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 10% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Schalke 04 38.1 versus SV Elversberg 45.2, a gap of 7.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans FC Schalke 04's way at 65%.
The call
The model tilts to FC Schalke 04 at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Schalke 04's way, especially at VELTINS-Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Schalke 04 or SV Elversberg?
FC Schalke 04, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% FC Schalke 04, 38% the draw and 10% SV Elversberg.
When and where is FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg being played?
20 September 2026 at VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg?
SV Elversberg 1-2 FC Schalke 04 on 12 April 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg?
FC Schalke 04 have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLWL), SV Elversberg 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently FC Schalke 04 took a 3-1 win away at Union Berlin and SV Elversberg a 1-2 defeat at home to Bayern München.
How many goals are expected in FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.40 for FC Schalke 04 and 2.00 for SV Elversberg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.