VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: match summary, form and prediction
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach with a season still short of where it should be — 13th in Bundesliga and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
The fixture at a glance
Borussia Mönchengladbach travel to VfB Stuttgart on 23 October 2026 at MHPArena, Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 7 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
VfB Stuttgart: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (83 scored and 62 conceded in 43 matches, 1.93 and 1.44 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2. For a club of VfB Stuttgart's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 51 conceded in 30 matches, 1.23 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | LLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 1 | 9 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.93 / 1.44 | 1.23 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.79 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.5 | 22.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 14% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 3 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): VfB Stuttgart three wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach one win, none draws — an edge to VfB Stuttgart.
- Most recent meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart on 25 January 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.75 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: VfB Stuttgart 44.5 versus Borussia Mönchengladbach 22.0, a gap of 22.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Big club, bad season: VfB Stuttgart are 13th with a goal difference of -2 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans VfB Stuttgart's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. VfB Stuttgart is the nominal pick at 43%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts VfB Stuttgart's way, especially at MHPArena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% VfB Stuttgart, 43% the draw and 14% Borussia Mönchengladbach.
When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach being played?
23 October 2026 at MHPArena, Stuttgart, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart on 25 January 2026.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 from theirs (LLDWL). Most recently VfB Stuttgart took a 0-1 defeat away at Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach a 1-2 defeat at home to 1899 Hoffenheim.
How many goals are expected in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.80 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. It rates over 2.5 goals at 21%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.