Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV with a season still short of where it should be — 14th in Bundesliga and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
The fixture at a glance
Hamburger SV travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 1 November 2026 at Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 8 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Eintracht Frankfurt: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 94 conceded in 43 matches, 1.63 and 2.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -7. For a club of Eintracht Frankfurt's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Hamburger SV: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 50 conceded in 30 matches, 1.2 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.5 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Eintracht Frankfurt | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -7 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.63 / 2.19 | 1.2 / 1.67 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.6 | 52.5 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 14 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 16% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Eintracht Frankfurt one win, Hamburger SV one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt on 27 October 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt 46.6 versus Hamburger SV 52.5, a gap of 5.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th with a goal difference of -7 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: Hamburger SV carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Eintracht Frankfurt's way at 66%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Eintracht Frankfurt at 63%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Eintracht Frankfurt's way, especially at Deutsche Bank Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Eintracht Frankfurt or Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Eintracht Frankfurt, 21% the draw and 16% Hamburger SV.
When and where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV being played?
1 November 2026 at Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt on 27 October 2026.
What is the recent form of Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Hamburger SV 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently Eintracht Frankfurt took a 3-1 win away at Hamburger SV and Hamburger SV a 1-3 defeat at home to Eintracht Frankfurt.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.80 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.40 for Hamburger SV. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Eintracht Frankfurt and 14 for Hamburger SV at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.