FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg on 31 October 2026 at WWK Arena, Augsburg. SC Freiburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 8 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as FC Augsburg - SC Freiburg. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Augsburg: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 50 conceded in 27 matches, 1.52 and 1.85 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
SC Freiburg: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (66 scored and 65 conceded in 45 matches, 1.47 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Augsburg | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDD | WLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 11 | 8 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 27 | 45 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.52 / 1.85 | 1.47 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.0 | 50.1 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 41% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 2 | 4 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): FC Augsburg two wins, SC Freiburg four wins, one draw — an edge to SC Freiburg.
- Most recent meeting: SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Augsburg on 23 August 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the seven — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Augsburg 36.0 versus SC Freiburg 50.1, a gap of 14.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: FC Augsburg carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans SC Freiburg's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. SC Freiburg is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Augsburg or SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 37% FC Augsburg, 22% the draw and 41% SC Freiburg.
When and where is FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg being played?
31 October 2026 at WWK Arena, Augsburg, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Augsburg on 23 August 2025.
What is the recent form of FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg?
FC Augsburg have taken 6 points from their last five (WDLDD), SC Freiburg 6 from theirs (WLLLW). Most recently FC Augsburg took a 4-2 win away at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and SC Freiburg a 3-2 win at home to VfL Wolfsburg.
How many goals are expected in FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.20 for FC Augsburg and 2.00 for SC Freiburg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for FC Augsburg and four for SC Freiburg at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.