Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the pick at 40% for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Borussia Mönchengladbach host SC Paderborn 07 on 31 October 2026 at Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach. Borussia Mönchengladbach are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 8 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Borussia Mönchengladbach - SC Paderborn 07. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Borussia Mönchengladbach: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 51 conceded in 30 matches, 1.23 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -11.
SC Paderborn 07: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.75 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Borussia Mönchengladbach | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLD | LWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.23 / 1.7 | 1.75 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.1 | 1.81 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.2 | 47.6 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 14 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.2 versus SC Paderborn 07 47.6, a gap of 15.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans SC Paderborn 07's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Borussia Mönchengladbach at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Borussia Mönchengladbach's way, especially at Borussia-Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Borussia Mönchengladbach or SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Mönchengladbach, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 27% the draw and 33% SC Paderborn 07.
When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 being played?
31 October 2026 at Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Mönchengladbach have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLLD), SC Paderborn 07 7 from theirs (LWDLW). Most recently Borussia Mönchengladbach took a 2-0 win at home to Karlsruher SC and SC Paderborn 07 a 0-1 defeat at home to VfB Stuttgart.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.80 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 0.60 for SC Paderborn 07. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 14 for SC Paderborn 07 at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.