Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the pick at 49% for Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Werder Bremen host 1899 Hoffenheim on 31 October 2026 at Weser-Stadion, Bremen. 1899 Hoffenheim are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 8 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Werder Bremen - 1899 Hoffenheim. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Werder Bremen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 54 conceded in 30 matches, 1.07 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
1899 Hoffenheim: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (61 scored and 52 conceded in 31 matches, 1.97 and 1.68 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Werder Bremen | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDDL | DWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 16 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.07 / 1.8 | 1.97 / 1.68 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.97 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.2 | 55.0 |
| Players unavailable | 16 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 49% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 1 | 6 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Werder Bremen one win, 1899 Hoffenheim six wins, none draws — an edge to 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Most recent meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen on 09 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the seven — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Availability: Werder Bremen carry the heavier absentee list, 16 players to twelve.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans 1899 Hoffenheim's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to 1899 Hoffenheim at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Werder Bremen or 1899 Hoffenheim?
1899 Hoffenheim, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 28% Werder Bremen, 23% the draw and 49% 1899 Hoffenheim.
When and where is Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim being played?
31 October 2026 at Weser-Stadion, Bremen, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Werder Bremen and 1899 Hoffenheim?
1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen on 09 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and 1899 Hoffenheim?
Werder Bremen have taken 5 points from their last five (LWDDL), 1899 Hoffenheim 10 from theirs (DWWWL). Most recently Werder Bremen took a 2-3 defeat away at Borussia Dortmund and 1899 Hoffenheim a 1-1 draw away at Holstein Kiel.
How many goals are expected in Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.80 for Werder Bremen and 2.20 for 1899 Hoffenheim. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 16 players unavailable for Werder Bremen and twelve for 1899 Hoffenheim at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.