Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Borussia Dortmund the pick at 78% for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Borussia Dortmund host SV Elversberg on 7 November 2026 at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 78%. This matchday 9 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Borussia Dortmund - SV Elversberg. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Borussia Dortmund: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (102 scored and 63 conceded in 46 matches, 2.22 and 1.37 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +8.
SV Elversberg: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 22 conceded in 17 matches, 1.88 and 1.29 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 7th |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWD | WLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 8 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 46 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.22 / 1.37 | 1.88 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.87 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.0 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 78% | 8% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Borussia Dortmund 57.0 versus SV Elversberg 48.3, a gap of 8.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Borussia Dortmund's way at 75%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Borussia Dortmund at 78%, a gap of 64 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Borussia Dortmund's way, especially at Signal Iduna Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Borussia Dortmund or SV Elversberg?
Borussia Dortmund, with an implied win probability of roughly 78%. The full split is 78% Borussia Dortmund, 14% the draw and 8% SV Elversberg.
When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg being played?
7 November 2026 at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg?
Borussia Dortmund have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWWD), SV Elversberg 6 from theirs (WLLWL). Most recently Borussia Dortmund took a 2-2 draw away at Bayern München and SV Elversberg a 4-1 win at home to FSV Mainz 05.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.40 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.80 for SV Elversberg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.