Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach match summary and prediction — Bundesliga
There is barely anything between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Borussia Mönchengladbach travel to Hamburger SV on 6 November 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg. Borussia Mönchengladbach are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 9 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hamburger SV: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 50 conceded in 30 matches, 1.2 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.0 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 51 conceded in 30 matches, 1.23 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hamburger SV | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWW | DWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 9 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.2 / 1.67 | 1.23 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.0 | 35.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 39% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Hamburger SV 52.0 versus Borussia Mönchengladbach 35.6, a gap of 16.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Borussia Mönchengladbach's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Borussia Mönchengladbach is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. Borussia Mönchengladbach's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hamburger SV or Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 36% Hamburger SV, 25% the draw and 39% Borussia Mönchengladbach.
When and where is Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach being played?
6 November 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV on 24 August 2025.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Hamburger SV have taken 6 points from their last five (LLLWW), Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 from theirs (DWWLL). Most recently Hamburger SV took a 1-3 defeat away at Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach a 0-0 draw at home to SC Paderborn 07.
How many goals are expected in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.40 for Hamburger SV and 1.20 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.