Santa Clara vs SC Braga: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes SC Braga the pick at 63% for Santa Clara vs SC Braga. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
SC Braga travel to Santa Clara on 20 September 2026. SC Braga are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 7 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as Santa Clara - SC Braga. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Santa Clara: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 22 conceded in 17 matches, 1.06 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
SC Braga: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 38 conceded in 35 matches, 2.0 and 1.09 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Santa Clara | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | WLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 2 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.06 / 1.29 | 2.0 / 1.09 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.12 | 1.89 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.1 | 58.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 5% | 63% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Santa Clara 70.1 versus SC Braga 58.8, a gap of 11.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.73, over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 32%.
- First goal: Leans SC Braga's way at 72%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards SC Braga at 63%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Santa Clara or SC Braga?
SC Braga, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 5% Santa Clara, 32% the draw and 63% SC Braga.
When and where is Santa Clara vs SC Braga being played?
20 September 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Santa Clara and SC Braga?
Santa Clara 2-1 SC Braga on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Santa Clara and SC Braga?
Santa Clara have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), SC Braga 10 from theirs (WLWWD). Most recently Santa Clara took a 2-1 win away at Arouca and SC Braga a 1-0 win at home to Estoril.
How many goals are expected in Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.73 — 1.33 for Santa Clara and 1.40 for SC Braga. It rates over 2.5 goals at 28%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 32%, so its call is no.