GIL Vicente vs FC Porto match summary and prediction — Primeira Liga
Our model makes FC Porto the pick at 55% for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
GIL Vicente host FC Porto on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. FC Porto are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 9 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as GIL Vicente - FC Porto. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
GIL Vicente: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +2.
FC Porto: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 24 conceded in 29 matches, 1.66 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 79.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Side by side
| Statistic | GIL Vicente | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +2 | +16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDL | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 29 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.66 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.25 | 2.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 79.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 55% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: GIL Vicente 48.8 versus FC Porto 79.0, a gap of 30.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans FC Porto's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards FC Porto at 55%, a gap of 30 percentage points to the next outcome. GIL Vicente's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: GIL Vicente or FC Porto?
FC Porto, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 19% GIL Vicente, 25% the draw and 55% FC Porto.
When and where is GIL Vicente vs FC Porto being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between GIL Vicente and FC Porto?
FC Porto 3-0 GIL Vicente on 26 January 2026.
What is the recent form of GIL Vicente and FC Porto?
GIL Vicente have taken 10 points from their last five (WWWDL), FC Porto 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently GIL Vicente took a 2-1 win away at SC Braga and FC Porto a 0-1 defeat at home to PSV Eindhoven.
How many goals are expected in GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.60 for GIL Vicente and 1.80 for FC Porto. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.