SC Braga vs Famalicao: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes SC Braga the pick at 64% for SC Braga vs Famalicao. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
SC Braga host Famalicao on 1 November 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga. SC Braga are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 10 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as SC Braga - Famalicao. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
SC Braga: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 38 conceded in 35 matches, 2.0 and 1.09 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -2.
Famalicao: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 17 conceded in 15 matches, 1.33 and 1.13 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | SC Braga | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWLL | DWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 11 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 35 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.0 / 1.09 | 1.33 / 1.13 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 52.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: SC Braga 37.8 versus Famalicao 52.4, a gap of 14.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans SC Braga's way at 65%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards SC Braga at 64%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. Famalicao's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts SC Braga's way, especially at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SC Braga or Famalicao?
SC Braga, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% SC Braga, 23% the draw and 13% Famalicao.
When and where is SC Braga vs Famalicao being played?
1 November 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between SC Braga and Famalicao?
SC Braga 2-2 Famalicao on 19 April 2026.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Famalicao?
SC Braga have taken 4 points from their last five (DLWLL), Famalicao 7 from theirs (DWLLW). Most recently SC Braga took a 2-2 draw at home to Famalicao and Famalicao a 2-2 draw away at SC Braga.
How many goals are expected in SC Braga vs Famalicao?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.20 for SC Braga and 1.80 for Famalicao. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.