GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between GIL Vicente and Vitória SC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
GIL Vicente host Vitória SC on 2 November 2026 at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Vitória SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 10 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as GIL Vicente - Vitória SC. Kick-off is 20:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
GIL Vicente: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Vitória SC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | GIL Vicente | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | WWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 8 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 41.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: GIL Vicente 48.6 versus Vitória SC 41.7, a gap of 6.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Vitória SC's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Vitória SC is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Vitória SC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: GIL Vicente or Vitória SC?
Vitória SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 34% GIL Vicente, 29% the draw and 38% Vitória SC.
When and where is GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, kick-off 20:15 UTC.
Have GIL Vicente and Vitória SC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of GIL Vicente and Vitória SC?
GIL Vicente have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Vitória SC 10 from theirs (WWLWD). Most recently GIL Vicente took a 1-4 defeat away at Benfica and Vitória SC a 5-0 win at home to Maritimo.
How many goals are expected in GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.40 for GIL Vicente and 2.00 for Vitória SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.