Maritimo vs Santa Clara — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Maritimo and Santa Clara on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Maritimo face Santa Clara on 1 November 2026 at Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal. Santa Clara are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 34%. This matchday 10 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as Maritimo - Santa Clara. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Maritimo: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 15 conceded in 16 matches, 1.25 and 0.94 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -10.
Santa Clara: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 22 conceded in 17 matches, 1.06 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Maritimo | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLD | LLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.25 / 0.94 | 1.06 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.75 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.8 | 60.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Maritimo 25.8 versus Santa Clara 60.1, a gap of 34.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Santa Clara's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Santa Clara is the nominal pick at 34%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Maritimo or Santa Clara?
Santa Clara, with an implied win probability of roughly 34%. The full split is 34% Maritimo, 32% the draw and 34% Santa Clara.
When and where is Maritimo vs Santa Clara being played?
1 November 2026 at Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Maritimo and Santa Clara met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Maritimo and Santa Clara?
Maritimo have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWLD), Santa Clara 7 from theirs (LLWDW). Most recently Maritimo took a 1-2 defeat away at Sporting CP and Santa Clara a 1-2 defeat at home to Benfica.
How many goals are expected in Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.60 for Maritimo and 2.20 for Santa Clara. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.