Estoril vs Maritimo — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Estoril and Maritimo on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Maritimo travel to Estoril on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril. Estoril are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 11 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as Estoril - Maritimo. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Estoril: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 27 conceded in 16 matches, 1.25 and 1.69 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 21.5 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -14.
Maritimo: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 15 conceded in 16 matches, 1.25 and 0.94 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Estoril | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -14 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 12 | 4 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.25 / 1.69 | 1.25 / 0.94 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.75 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 21.5 | 25.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Estoril 21.5 versus Maritimo 25.3, a gap of 3.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Estoril's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Estoril is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Estoril's way, especially at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Estoril or Maritimo?
Estoril, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Estoril, 31% the draw and 32% Maritimo.
When and where is Estoril vs Maritimo being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Estoril and Maritimo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Estoril and Maritimo?
Estoril have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Maritimo 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Estoril took a 0-4 defeat away at FC Porto and Maritimo a 0-2 defeat at home to Santa Clara.
How many goals are expected in Estoril vs Maritimo?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.80 — 0.40 for Estoril and 0.40 for Maritimo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.