Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente match summary and prediction — Primeira Liga
Our model makes Santa Clara the pick at 46% for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
GIL Vicente travel to Santa Clara on 8 November 2026. Santa Clara are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as Santa Clara - GIL Vicente. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Santa Clara: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 22 conceded in 17 matches, 1.06 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +9.
GIL Vicente: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Santa Clara | GIL Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +9 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWD | DLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.06 / 1.29 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.6 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Santa Clara 60.6 versus GIL Vicente 51.9, a gap of 8.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Santa Clara's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Santa Clara at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Santa Clara's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Santa Clara or GIL Vicente?
Santa Clara, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Santa Clara, 31% the draw and 23% GIL Vicente.
When and where is Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Santa Clara and GIL Vicente?
Santa Clara 1-0 GIL Vicente on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Santa Clara and GIL Vicente?
Santa Clara have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLWD), GIL Vicente 7 from theirs (DLLWW). Most recently Santa Clara took a 2-0 win away at Maritimo and GIL Vicente a 0-0 draw at home to Vitória SC.
How many goals are expected in Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 2.20 for Santa Clara and 0.40 for GIL Vicente. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.