Vitória SC vs FC Porto: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FC Porto the pick at 51% for Vitória SC vs FC Porto. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Vitória SC host FC Porto on 8 November 2026. FC Porto are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 11 fixture in Primeira Liga is listed as Vitória SC - FC Porto. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Vitória SC: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0.
FC Porto: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored eight and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 80.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +21.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Vitória SC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 1st |
| Goal difference | 0 | +21 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLW | WWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.7 | 80.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 24% | 51% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Vitória SC 41.7 versus FC Porto 80.2, a gap of 38.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.70, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans FC Porto's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to FC Porto at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vitória SC or FC Porto?
FC Porto, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 24% Vitória SC, 26% the draw and 51% FC Porto.
When and where is Vitória SC vs FC Porto being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Vitória SC and FC Porto met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and FC Porto?
Vitória SC have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWLW), FC Porto 9 from theirs (WWWLL). Most recently Vitória SC took a 0-0 draw away at GIL Vicente and FC Porto a 4-0 win at home to Estoril.
How many goals are expected in Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.70 — 1.50 for Vitória SC and 2.20 for FC Porto. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.