1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between 1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
1. FC Heidenheim face Energie Cottbus on 24 October 2026 at Voith-Arena, Heidenheim. 1. FC Heidenheim are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 9 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as 1. FC Heidenheim - Energie Cottbus. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
1. FC Heidenheim: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 66 conceded in 30 matches, 1.17 and 2.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of 0.
Energie Cottbus: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 17 conceded in 17 matches, 1.65 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | 1. FC Heidenheim | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 9th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLD | DLDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 9 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.17 / 2.2 | 1.65 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.7 | 1.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.7 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: 1. FC Heidenheim 51.7 versus Energie Cottbus 44.8, a gap of 6.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans 1. FC Heidenheim's way at 53%.
The call
The model does not commit. 1. FC Heidenheim is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. 1. FC Heidenheim's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts 1. FC Heidenheim's way, especially at Voith-Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: 1. FC Heidenheim or Energie Cottbus?
1. FC Heidenheim, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% 1. FC Heidenheim, 18% the draw and 40% Energie Cottbus.
When and where is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus being played?
24 October 2026 at Voith-Arena, Heidenheim, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have 1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus?
1. FC Heidenheim have taken 5 points from their last five (LDWLD), Energie Cottbus 6 from theirs (DLDDW). Most recently 1. FC Heidenheim took a 1-3 defeat away at VfL Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus a 1-1 draw at home to 1. FC Nürnberg.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.40 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 2.60 for Energie Cottbus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.