1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC match summary and prediction — 2. Bundesliga
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the pick at 49% for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
1. FC Magdeburg face Karlsruher SC on 24 October 2026 at Avnet Arena, Magdeburg. 1. FC Magdeburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 9 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as 1. FC Magdeburg - Karlsruher SC. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
1. FC Magdeburg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 24 conceded in 14 matches, 1.93 and 1.71 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Karlsruher SC: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 28 conceded in 14 matches, 1.5 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | 1. FC Magdeburg | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 14 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.93 / 1.71 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: 1. FC Magdeburg 49.1 versus Karlsruher SC 37.3, a gap of 11.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans 1. FC Magdeburg's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to 1. FC Magdeburg at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts 1. FC Magdeburg's way, especially at Avnet Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: 1. FC Magdeburg or Karlsruher SC?
1. FC Magdeburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% 1. FC Magdeburg, 22% the draw and 28% Karlsruher SC.
When and where is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC being played?
24 October 2026 at Avnet Arena, Magdeburg, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC?
1. FC Magdeburg have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDWL), Karlsruher SC 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently 1. FC Magdeburg took a 0-2 defeat away at Dynamo Dresden and Karlsruher SC a 4-0 win at home to SV Darmstadt 98.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.80 for Karlsruher SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.