1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the pick at 60% for 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
1. FC Kaiserslautern travel to 1. FC Nürnberg on 24 October 2026 at Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg. 1. FC Nürnberg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 9 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as 1. FC Nürnberg - 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
1. FC Nürnberg: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 19 conceded in 16 matches, 1.62 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +10.
1. FC Kaiserslautern: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 23 conceded in 14 matches, 1.07 and 1.64 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | 1. FC Nürnberg | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +10 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | WDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 7 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.62 / 1.19 | 1.07 / 1.64 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.5 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 16% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: 1. FC Nürnberg 57.5 versus 1. FC Kaiserslautern 59.3, a gap of 1.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans 1. FC Nürnberg's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards 1. FC Nürnberg at 60%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts 1. FC Nürnberg's way, especially at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: 1. FC Nürnberg or 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
1. FC Nürnberg, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% 1. FC Nürnberg, 23% the draw and 16% 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
When and where is 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern being played?
24 October 2026 at Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between 1. FC Nürnberg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Nürnberg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
1. FC Nürnberg have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), 1. FC Kaiserslautern 8 from theirs (WDDWL). Most recently 1. FC Nürnberg took a 1-1 draw away at Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 2-0 win at home to VfL Bochum.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.60 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.20 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.